Notre Dame can beat USC, but can Gators cover? October 16, 2009
Posted by Vince Mullins in Football, sports betting.Tags: college football, florida gators, notre dame
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Can Jimmy Clausen pull out another close one versus the Trojans? (CNN)
Home Dog Alert! Oregon State +1 hosts Cincinnati September 19, 2009
Posted by Vince Mullins in Football, sports betting, sports investing.Tags: college football
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Anne Hathaway's hotness will sneak up on you, and so could the Beavers as home dog.
So many people I trust like the Oregon State Beavers at home against the vicious offense of the Cincinnati Bearcats.
FootballJesus - Beavers are the pick and this guy is particularly sharp on Pac 10.
Phil Steele – Beavers by 4
While both teams are young (10 and 9 ret starters), UC is making the odd trip to the Pacific NW (lost L/6 vs non-conference BCS teams by an avg of 21 ppg on the road) and probably won’t be prepared for the crowd volume of Reser Stadium. Oregon St usually struggles early in the year, especially their first road game but by the 2nd home game of the season they have it figured out and have won that game by an average of 39-14 (last 4) including wins over USC and Boise St!
Beavers are replacing the entire secondary and that seems like a huge challenge versus Tony Pike and Mardy Gilyard, but two things I immediately search for every week are (1) home dogs and (2) long trips. College kids especially those at the mid-cap programs just do not travel well. Hell, LSU didn’t travel well to Washington in Week One.
Get your two units on Oregon State +1.5, interestingly there is no moneyline here either.
Toledo to cover vs. Ohio State? September 19, 2009
Posted by Vince Mullins in Football.Tags: college football, Ohio State
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Speaking of Rockets...breasts are great, but Denise Milani possesses so much more.
Images dance in your mind based on the glorious history of the Ohio State Buckeyes, so you perish the thought of the MAC BCS-buster Toledo Rockets staying close with the hallowed Scarlet and Gray.
Let me list the ways that this 22 point line could be way off.
- Toledo isnt sneaking up on anyone – they just had the national stage last Friday Night in crushing Colorado. So it is quite likely that the Rockets are fairly to OVERVALUED on the line.
- Ohio State is likely overvalued after playing USC closely in the Horseshoe, in fact the Buckos should have won.
- 22 is more than a three TD cushion, so a 42-21 tOSU win is NOT a cover.
- Navy passed well against Ohio State in the opener (esp. in 2-min drill), and USC chose to run over the Buckeyes last week. Toledo is a well-balanced offense in their 1-1 start and Aaron Opelt is as hot as any QB in the nation throwing to 4-yr starter WR Stephen Williams, freshman sensation Eric Page and Cris Carter cousin Kenny Stafford.
- This game is in Cleveland Browns Stadium, not in the Horseshoe.
Sportsbook.com does not have a moneyline, so 2 units on the Rockets +21 or better.
College Football Home Dog Upsets to watch – San Jose over Utah? September 12, 2009
Posted by Vince Mullins in Football, sports betting.Tags: college football
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Bianca Beauchamp on Bikini Saturday (She is into leather)
San Jose State likely didnt show everything for the USC game, Tomey is a sharp coach and should have had his players focused for the home opener against a young Utah team with a freshman QB.
Plus, I like the value of the +450 and all those points. I bought in to the Phil Steele pitch and used the “Huss Hedge”.
2 Units on SJSU +14 and 1 unit on moneyline +450!
College Football Home Dogs to watch – Ohio State over USC September 12, 2009
Posted by Vince Mullins in Football, sports betting.Tags: Buckeyes, college football
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Catalina Cruz in game colors
USC is more talented – I give you that. But TD dog in the Horseshoe where they are 46-1 in non-conference games? Value with Buckeyes.
The Trojans are young and freshman stud QB Matt Barkley plays on the road for the first time. Joe McKnight and the rest of the RBs are the focus of the offense, but Buckeyes run D worked fine last week – it was their pass defense that Navy got the big plays. Can Barkley handle the pressure with 100k booing him? I just doubt it even if he is the Third Coming (Tebow being the second…).
I also think there is value in tOSU based on last week’s results – Navy always confuses their opponent with their three-card monte of an offense and Buckeyes had to have spent some of their Week One prep on SoCal rather than the Middies. Trojans embarrassed the Spartans (Peloponnesian War?) and this line has moved from an open of 4.5 to 7.
I suggest the “Huss Hedge” – 2 units ATS, 1 unit moneyline +240
LOCK OF THE WEEK – Under 40 South Carolina-Georgia September 12, 2009
Posted by Vince Mullins in Football, sports betting.Tags: college football, Gamecocks, Georgia Bulldogs
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White Bikini Saturday
Last five matchups avg 27 ppg. Enough said but let me develop why this one that might look like a soccer match.
Gamecocks have only allowed one TD in the last two games against Georgia, and that was with Stafford and Moreno. But the offense still looked pedestrian against a decent NC State defense.
UGA QB may have missed the game with flu but is now probable – not that it would have mattered as the offense looked like RB Richard Samuels and ten other guys (bad QB even made AJ Green look average) Add in OT Sturdivant injury and Bulldogs will continue to struggle.
40 was the number on Sportsbook Friday.
NBA 4.28.09 April 28, 2009
Posted by justinmsmith in Basketball, NBA, sports betting, sports investing.add a comment
Sports bing out the best in all of us !!!
DAMN !!! This was a brutal weekend. Got jacked up. But these things happen. Gotta be quick gonna be busy tomorrow all day.
CHI 199
BOS -6.5
Boston should win, but it should be a close game. 6.5 is a little much.
PHILLY 188.5
ORL -8.5
Again, a situation that the favs should win, but the cover doesn’t look good. Philly has confidence. This series should be 3-1 Magic at this point. Philly hangs tough.
DAL 190
S.A. -5
the Spurs are at home, but does it mater ? I think it’s close but Dallas covers the spread. The Spurs just aren’t what they used to be.
HOU 182
PORT -5.5
Houston is the better team, but I think they cover. Should be close but I do think the Blazers win.. but Houstin covers.
take the bulls money line (+320) and the sixers moneyline (+330). Do em both seperate with minor wagers.
3 game parlay
dallas +5
chi + 6.5
philly + 8.5
3 game
dal +5
philly +8.5
hou + 5.5
hope the weedays treat me better than the weekend did.
NBA 4.27.09 April 27, 2009
Posted by justinmsmith in Basketball, NBA, sports betting, sports investing.add a comment
Who doesn't love some UMA ?!?!?!?
So when I bet on the Rockets, those Blazers cover. But when I bet on the Blazers, the Rockets cover. It worked out 1 of 4 times in this first round. The Cavs have been easy money in their sweep of Detroit. Covering the spread (and winning by double digits) all 4 of their games with the Pistons.
ATL 185.5
MIA -5
This series is wacked. The margin of victory has been double digits in every game. Who shows up tonight? We know the Hawks are a good home team and crap on the road. But down 2-1 , does that motivate them ? D Wade and company rolled last game and are looking to head back to Hot-lanta up 3-1. Will the Hawks be able to stop the Heats offensive attack ? No they won’t , so I am going with the over in the one. This could be the first close game of the series, or another double digit blow out. Who knows ? But i do like the total goinng noth of the 180’s.
DEN 194
N.O. -2
The Hornets played much better last game at home than the first 2 on the road. look for them to get this series even after the confidence building game 3. Lost big twice in Denver and managed to hold on for the 2 point win last out. I think with the newfound life the Hornets even this up before they make the trip back to Denver. CP got flustered up in the mile high city , but did much better down at sea level in N.O. Look for the Home teams to continue to roll.
UTAH 211
L.A. -12.5
Well this series is all but over. Lake Show gets a win at home and they join the Cavs in Round 2. the Jazz haven’t played well in L.A. They strike me as a proud team, and I think they keep this close. The Lakers usually are bad with these types of spreads (historically they are pretty rough when 12 point favs). i think the Jazz keep it to single digits. It’s pretty much the last game of the season for the Jazz so what do you have to lose. Down 3-1 to the Lakers, it’s not like Kobe is gonna shoot 4-21 three games in a row……. wouldn’t really load up on this one, but I like the Jazz to cover
ATL/MIA OVER 185.5
N.O. -2
BET BOTH THESE SINGLE THAN PUT THEM IN A 2 GAME PARLAY
3 GAME PARLAY
THROW THE JAZZ GETTING 12.5 ON THE BACK END OF THE 2 GAME PARLAY
