Get Over on Vegas with these selections October 12, 2007
Posted by Vince Mullins in sports betting, sports investing.add a comment
With a lot of my focus on fantasy college football, I occasionally find what I think to be some total bets that scream at me. For Week 7, there are two games that vastly overestimate the defensive aptitude of the combatants:
OVER 55 SMU at Southern Miss
both of these teams have defenses that rank lower than 105 in my system – bad enough. But QB Paul Smith leads Tulsa offense that can rack up points in a hurry, and Golden Eagles have a strong rushing attack to lean on with injured starting QB Jeremy Young in the shop.
Over 62.5 UL-Monroe at North Texas
Another horrible defensive matchup. The Mean Green are worst in two of my favorite categories and 118th in the third – they allow 51 ppg alone! If for no other reason, see the Sun Belt’s best RB in Warhawk Calvin Dawson.
Mississippi State +7 vs. Tennessee October 12, 2007
Posted by Vince Mullins in Uncategorized.add a comment
The Volunteer defense ranks 109th in my ratings, and the Bulldogs have some impressive results this year. Despite playing with a far-below average quarterback position, Sylvester Croom has a tremendous defense and one of the best young RBs in the nation in Anthony Dixon. Look under the hood and even Jeff Sagarin’s computer rankings see a potential Top Ten team in Starkville (see ELO-CHESS description and ranking in red).
I have seen +240 and +250 straight up, and that is really enticing, especially if you play both the moneyline and take the points.
Never bet more than 10% of your capital on one game – this looks like a 5-8% bet to me.
Hello world! October 11, 2007
Posted by Vince Mullins in Uncategorized.add a comment
Welcome to Blue Horseshoe Loves at WordPress.com!
This will be an irreverent multi-author blog to share our views on the sports world, with a heavy leaning towards sports investing and how you can learn and earn from it.
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Stay tuned!
