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College Football Upsets to watch – MAC attack August 29, 2008

Posted by Vince Mullins in Uncategorized.
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Week One is always the toughest week to handicap as there is no history to use for a guide. You have to really do your homework, know your newcomers, and be aware of coference weaknesses and strengths in order to get an information advantage.

Well, I think I got that for you. In my continuing collaboration with numbers guru Matt Ryan we have identified three upsets from which you can either a) amaze and delight your friends with your knowledge or b) profit handsomely.

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NCAA Football picks August 28, 2008

Posted by thisisme2 in Football, sports betting, sports investing.
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You will enjoy these picks...by Neil Young, Esq.

Here is what I LOVE for week 1 (ranked best bet is #1)
1.  the UNDER  45(46 if you can get it) on USC at VA
the CAVS can’t score more than 10 under any circumstance and USC is just trying to survive and get to OSU in week 3.  Expect USC to RUN their RBs, and to try out at least a backup QB, and several WR’s who haven’t seen the field much/if ever!
2. Utah to WIN outright, thus +3.5 is a gift at Michigan
Also the under is a nice bet at 40, but I would just bet on Utah.
3. I like RICE to win giving up 3.5 to SMU
There’s too much pressure on SMU QB BO LEVI MITCHELL right now for him to out-CLEMENT Rice QB Chase Clement! Rice WR Jarett Dillard has a chance on national TV to set the stage for him to OUTSTAT CRABTREE !  I am calling for that to happen this season! SMU just isn’t in the same place (a happy place) that Rice is right now!
4. Tulsa -13.5 at UAB
Many might be scared off by the Tulsa QB split situation.  My thought is that a coach would only have QB tryouts in a game that he feels his team should win by near 30!  I can’t say I disagree . . since what does UAB have to keep up with the Tulsa scoring machine besides a KICKER!
5.  Mich ST vs Cal Under 58
NEW ENTIRE OFFENSIVE unit of cal vs a well coached MICH ST team doesn’t spell OFFENSIVE showdown to me!  I think 1 team do not score over 20 . . thus the other would have to score over 38 . .. thats too many as both have respectable defenses.

Heisman Trophy Odds – Tebow the favorite August 22, 2008

Posted by Vince Mullins in Uncategorized.
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Interesting that Florida Gator Tim Tebow exists as the favorite, despite only one repeat winner (Archie Griffin, Ohio State, 1973-74) in the history of the Award. For a group of investors who generally eschew risk, I find that quite interesting.

Be a contrarian; buy a basket of Daniel, Wells and maybe even Pat White and get a bigger payoff…

Heisman Odds as of August 21, 2008

Tim Tebow  +250
Chase Daniel +500
Chris Wells +500
Knowshon Moreno +800
Graham Harrell +1000
LeSean McCoy +1000
Michael Crabtree +1000

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College Football Preseason Positions August 21, 2008

Posted by Vince Mullins in Football, sports betting, sports investing.
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I like to call this my college football portfolio….

I like to look at the season win futures and National Title odds in college football sort of like a stock market – all participants move the line and it settles for a while until pressure moves it again. I think I found four great values for you during this trying time in the stock market, no more risky than a brokerage stock…

Lines courtesy of Sportsbook.com

1) Notre Dame Over 7 (-150)

I am trying to coach myself out of being so attached to the odds during these plays – it has often scared me off a play when I didn’t think I was getting the juice. Notre Dame was so bad last year (started lots of freshmen) and the football gods (whom we hear have a direct line to South Bend) blessed them with a weak schedule to recover.

It is very possible they will start 6-0 including a home victory over a retooling Michigan – if so, they have Navy and Syracuse in November to wrap it up. I am going to call this the layup of the year, so go max bet.

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