College Football Picks: Neil’s Assurity Rating November 28, 2008
Posted by thisisme2 in Uncategorized.add a comment
Estelle Reyna has picks ready, all wrapped up in bows
I created a little thing called my “assurity rating,”(ARATE) which is
a % of how sure I am the game will WIN the bet. I would rarely go higher than
90%, so 75% or better is something I would consider a good money bet.
Games are Central Time Zone starts
11 AM
WEST VIRGINIA -3.5 at PITTSBURGH (both are 7-3)
Evaluation of this matchup on paper was exactly like Louisville vs WV…a game
that was won 35-21 last week. Pitt run game has improved somewhat recently, and PAT
WHITE is finally getting the chance to RUN again. Pitt pass D is suspect
allowing white to make a few completions when needed. Pitt, when behind in not
playing into their strength…using the run to set up selective passes.
WEST VA 33 – Pitt 20 (ARATE WV = 80%)
O/U = 49 take the U49 (ARATE U49 =55%)
I feel my prediction is actually generous to Pitt’s offense, accounting for
a big day by LeSean McCoy…they must abandon the run in the final Q with West
VA up +10.
More games after the jump…
NFL WEEK 10…….already ? November 9, 2008
Posted by justinmsmith in Uncategorized.add a comment
Where has this season gone ? Already past the mid season point and still the Super Bowl Favorite is up in the air. 
PANTHERS -9.5 @ RAIDERS -9.5 O/U 37.5
Week after week, let down after let down, the Raiders are still an NFL team. This week at home they play host to the 1st place Panthers. And after the dismal offensive performance last week in front of the home crowd, total f 77 offensive yards, it’s amazing the Silver and Black still sell tickets. I find it hard to believe the Raiders offense puts up more than a few 50+ yards feild goals against this defense. Miracles do happen, but the Panthers giving the points seems to be the best bet here.
G.B +2.5 @ MINN -2.5 O/U 44.5
The Pack are really bad against the run. Look for Peterson to have a big game. Both teams are hanging tough at .500 , so One of them has to win. It’s kind of like a pick at this point, but expect a good amount of point to be put on the board. I’d take the over.
RAVENS +2.5 @ TEXANS -2.5 O/U 44
What started the week as a pick , now has the home team a 2.5 favorite. Even with the back up QB making the start. The ravens have a pressure defense and are doing well on the road. Look for the visitors to win straight up in this one. Ravens and the points (+2.5)
