Blue Horseshoe Loves…

So the 6 game didn’t play out the other day. But the 5 and 4 game parlays did.  Again, taking the money lines was a conservative play.  When it comes tme to place the wager, i usually go with the moment. Sometimes it pays out, sometimes it burns you. Point is, You can always hedge a bet like that. Do the money line on one side and the points in another.  Playing more than one parlay is always a good option, as long as you have the bank roll. Either way, I lost a parlay tonight by 3 points on the Cavs @ Nuggets Over. Neither team scored in the last 90 seconds of the game. If that goes through I hit 2 parlays A 2 gamer and a 4 gamer.  No biggie, it’s part of the game.  So back to Saturdays action.   So lets start with the NFL matchup Saturday in Dallas.

RAVENS (+4.5) @ COWBOYS  (O/U 39)

The Swan Song at Texas Stadium !! It would be hard to see the Cowboys losing this one.  But with the way the Cowboys Soap opera has been playing out, A loss would leave the opportunity open for a hollywood remake down the road. The Boys are doing well with the return of Tony Simpson….. i mean Romo, Tony Romo. Beating up the Giants last week helped keep the playoff picture alive. A loss this week combined with a Eagle win at the Redskins would make next Sundays Eagle Cowboy game an very interesting game.  Can TO and company hold it together for one more game ?  They will be facing the Ray Lewis charged Ravens defense. Don’t forget the Ravens lost a heartbreaker to the Steelers last week.  Now with the Playoffs on the line, the Ravens need a win Saturday in Dallas.  We  all know the Ravens defense is a hard hitting , physical bunch. Can Romo keep taking the hits ? As good as the Ravens D is, they give up more points on the road. And Falco is the real deal at QB. i must say, I like the Ravens getting the points and the over in this one.  ravens +4.5  over 39

So onto the NBA.

CLIPPERS (+4.5) @ BUCKS  (O/U 192)

So it’s the other team from LA, the Clippers.  Which have broken the 100 pt  mark 2 of last 3 games. The Bucks have broken 100 2 of last 3 home games.  I gotta like the over in this one.  Looking of a fast paced run and gun pace.  The Bucks are 4-1 in last 5 home games, scoring 100 + points in all 4 of those victories.   The Bucks aren’t so hot on the road, but i like them at home. (having won by 5 or more points in all 3 of those wins.)   As long as the pace is pushed and turnovers are forced, see this over covered.

JAZZ (-10) @ BULLS (O/U 200)

The Jazz aren’t a grreat road team, although they are 4-2 in the last 6 road games. Losing to the Cletics and the Suns.  The Bulls can put points on the board. The Defense also allows just as many points. I am not sure of the 10 point spread but I do like the over.

JAZZ $ LINE AND THE OVER

KINGS (+15.5) @ HORNETS  (O/U 197.5)

Again, a big spread here. Need the Hornets to win by 16 to cover. I am thinking Hornets $ line for sure. As for the over over/under,  thats a tough one as well.  If history repeats itself, the Hornets have won the last 4 at home but haven’t hit the 197.5 mark in any of those games.

So the Kings are 1-1 with the Intreim Coach NATT. Do I think the kings can win, NO. Will they lose by 16 points or more, i don’t know.  The tricky part is, the Hornets can turn this into a romp. If it is a 103-87 point win, the over isn’t covered.  Say they keep it close. We are looking at a 105 -98  victory. The over is covered, but short on the points. in a situation like this, I would play it safe and go with the HORNETS $ LINE

NUGGETS (+4.5) @ SUNS (O/U 222)

I don’t know about you, but 222 seems a little high. That means one low scoring quarter for either side and you can kiss that over good bye.  Wait till about a hlaf hour before tip and see if the total points drop a few points. That might be a good late minute move.   other than that, I gotta go with the under. Denver isn’t the high octane offense they are at home. The Suns  put 115 on the board, how confident are you that the Nuggets will put up 110 ?  I am leaning suns +4.5 and the UNDER.

6 GAME PARLAY

Ravens +4.5 with the OVER (39), Bucks Clippers OVER (192),  Jazz $ Line, Hornets $ Line, Suns/Nuggets  Under (222)

5 GAME PARLAY

Ravens +4.5 with the over, Hornets $ Line, Jazz $ Line,