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NBA 4.28.09 April 28, 2009

Posted by justinmsmith in Basketball, NBA, sports betting, sports investing.
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Sports bing out the best in all of us !!!

Sports bing out the best in all of us !!!

DAMN !!!  This was a brutal weekend. Got jacked up. But these things happen.  Gotta be quick gonna be busy tomorrow all day.

CHI  199

BOS  -6.5

Boston should win, but it should be a close game. 6.5 is a little much.

PHILLY  188.5

ORL    -8.5

Again, a situation that the favs should win, but the cover doesn’t look good.  Philly has confidence. This series should be 3-1 Magic at this point. Philly hangs tough.

DAL  190

S.A.  -5

the Spurs are at home, but does it mater ?  I think it’s close but Dallas covers the spread.  The Spurs just aren’t what they used to be.

HOU  182

PORT  -5.5

Houston is the better team, but I think they cover.  Should be close but I do think the Blazers win.. but Houstin covers.

take the bulls money line (+320) and the sixers moneyline (+330). Do em both seperate with minor wagers.

3 game parlay

dallas +5

chi  + 6.5

philly + 8.5

3 game

dal +5

philly +8.5

hou + 5.5

hope the weedays treat me better than the weekend did.

NBA 4.27.09 April 27, 2009

Posted by justinmsmith in Basketball, NBA, sports betting, sports investing.
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Who doesn't love some UMA ?!?!?!?

Who doesn't love some UMA ?!?!?!?

So when I bet on the Rockets, those Blazers cover. But when I bet on the Blazers, the Rockets cover.  It worked out 1 of 4 times in this first round.  The Cavs have been easy money in their sweep of Detroit. Covering the spread (and winning by double digits) all 4 of their games with the Pistons.

ATL  185.5

MIA  -5

This series is wacked.  The margin of victory has been double digits in every game. Who shows up tonight?  We know the Hawks are a good home team and crap on the road. But down 2-1 , does that motivate them ?  D Wade and company rolled last game and are looking to head back to Hot-lanta up 3-1.  Will the Hawks be able to stop the Heats offensive attack ?  No they won’t , so I am going with the over in the one.  This could be the first close game of the series, or another  double digit blow out.  Who knows ?  But i do like the total goinng noth of the 180’s.

DEN  194

N.O.  -2

The Hornets played much better last game at home than the first 2 on the road.  look for them to get this series even after the confidence building game 3. Lost big twice in Denver and managed to hold on for the 2 point  win last out.  I think with the newfound life the Hornets even this up before they make the trip back to Denver.  CP got flustered up in the mile high city , but did much better down at sea level in N.O.  Look for the Home teams to continue to roll.

UTAH  211

L.A.   -12.5

Well this series is all but over. Lake Show gets a win at home and they join the Cavs in Round 2.  the Jazz haven’t played well in L.A.  They strike me as a proud team, and I think they keep this close. The Lakers usually are bad with these types of spreads (historically they are pretty rough when 12 point favs).  i think the Jazz keep it to single digits.  It’s pretty  much the last game of the season for the Jazz so what do you have to lose.  Down 3-1 to the Lakers, it’s not like Kobe is gonna shoot 4-21 three games in a row…….   wouldn’t really load up on this one, but I like the Jazz to cover

ATL/MIA  OVER  185.5

N.O. -2

BET BOTH THESE SINGLE THAN PUT THEM IN A 2 GAME PARLAY

3 GAME PARLAY

THROW THE JAZZ GETTING 12.5  ON THE BACK END OF THE 2 GAME PARLAY

NBA 4.26.09 April 26, 2009

Posted by justinmsmith in Uncategorized.
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gunsnjugsSO the Lake show rolled. The Blazers managed to cover and we cashed in on the action. The Hawks never had a chance, go figure.  So onto todays action.

Bos  202.5

Chi   -3

AFTER GETTING BLOWN OUT AT HOME IN GAME 3,  The Bulls find themselves in a must win game 4. If they are to have any chance, they need to split this home stretch. they will need Rose and Ben to have solid games all around. Boston can still advance without KG, but how deep can they go? The Bulls would like to end the Defending Champions run at the repeat, but in order to do so, they must win today. Bulls handle biz.

CLE -9

DET  178

Does Detroit even bother to show up today? I don’t think so.  The Cavs end it here. No need to play any more games than they need to.  Go out and get on them early. Detroit was in a must win situation in game 3, and they lost…..  and didn’t even cover. Don’t look like they will cover today either.  The Cav s go lights out and end the season for Detroit today.

ORL  -4.5

PHI  191.5

Watch out Magic, the Sixers are playing good.  The Magic are in need of a victory today or they face going back to Orlando down 3-1 .  Which is not what they want. I think the Magic win today but it will be decided in the finl 4 seconds. 4.5 seems a little high. Take the Sixers

POR  182

HOU -4.5

I think Houston rolls. The Rockets are the better all around team and have a chance to tighten th screws on  the Blazers today. At home, I think the Rockets kick it up a notch and take care of the Pesky Blazers.  If the rockets can sedn the series back to Portland with a 3-1 lead, the second round is looking good.

ROCKETS -4.5

PHILLY  -4.5

IT YOU WANT TO GET CRAZY, TAKE THE UNDER IN THE CLE/DET GAME  178

NBA 4.25.09 April 25, 2009

Posted by justinmsmith in Basketball, NBA, sports betting, sports investing.
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04_podborka_09Well who woulda thunk it, my parlay came through.  I had a feeling the Cavs were going to take care of biz. And those f*%kin Blazers. I was screaming at my flat screen when they were down double digits. Still wonder what the hell Blake was shooting with 12 seconds left. I am kinda glad they didn’t goto over time because I had the under in a side bet.  The under and a cover, 3rd time is a charm! And how about the Sixers winning at home. Up 2-1 in the series with game 4 tomorrow……. Will the Magic be a bust …. AGAIN??

DEN  199

N.O.  -4

I think the Hornets have to win this one.  I don’t know if they will, but it should at least be a close game. Paul has had tight defense played against him in the first 2 games. It was clear he was getting all jammed up and not able to work his magic. At home, he has to play better.  I wouldn’t touch this game, but possibly the under.  I kind of think this is going to end like the Blazer game. The visitors will keep it close, but don’t think they will win. But who cares if they win as long as they cover.

S.A.   188

DAL  -5

I think the MAVS roll !!! Again.  The Spurs just aren’t that good. They are old and banged up. The Mavs are tough at home and should continue were they left off last game.  The Mavs “D” shut down the struggling offense of the SPURS.  Parker just doesn’t have a supporting cast he once had. Big TIMMY is hurting. Knees are in bad shape.  He just isn’t what he used to be.  And did I mention Dallas is playing well and are tough at home ?? I look for the Mavs to win by double digits again.

ATL  186.5

MIA  -4

Again, another game I wouldn’t touch. I like the over but couldn’t tell you what is going on in the series.  Miami shot well in game 2. D Wade was money from behing the arc, with Cook even better.  I think these teams put up some points today. The Hawks aren’t the best defensive team on the road, so I expect them allow alot of points as well as put up a bunch.  I really think it will b a close game, 4 seems a little much. I think it gets decided in the last 3.4 seconds…….. on a deep 3 pointer with the shot clock going down.  But that is just my opinion.

L.A.   -5

UTAH   208.5

THE LAKERS win by 15 !!!  After Kobe shot a piss poor 4-21 in game 3, expect him to come out guns blazing !! We all know he doesn’t like to lose but that was a horrible outing by what the laker faithful refer to as MVP.  Not the way he played last game.  Deron is good, but he is all they got.  Even with the hobbled OKUR returning to the line up, it’s just to little to late.

LOAD UP ON THE LAKERS !!!!!

LAKERS -5

DALLAS -5

ATL/MIA OVER 186.5

I WOULD BET BIG ON THE LAKERS

BET HALF OF THE LAKERS BET ON THE MAVS AT HOME

DO A 2 GAME PARLAY WITH THE LAKERS AND MAVS

3 GAME PARLAY WITH

LAKERS-5

DAL  -5

O.U. ATL/MIA 186.5

best of luck !!!

NBA 4.24.09 April 24, 2009

Posted by justinmsmith in Uncategorized.
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08_podborka_53Well the Bulls couldn’t handle the pressure and the mighty oak Celtics rolled into the Windy City and showed why they are defending Champions.  The Mavs rolled at home, which seems to make sense because this Spurs team just really isn’t that good. See what injuries can do. And last we have the Jazz holding off those pesky Lakers to bring the series within 1 game. Remember last year, the Jazz took games 3 and 4 in Utah. Could it happen again ?

CLE  -4.5

DET  178

Can the Pistons get a game at home? Without Billups and no A.I. , this Piston team looks spread pretty thin.  The Cavs were rolling, up by 29 in game 2.  Halfway through the fourth the lead was down to single digits.  It seems like it’s do or die for the pistons, but aren’t they already dead ?  For the Cavs it’s just about preservation. Get through this round as quick and injury free as possible.  Watching the Lakers poor attempt at shutting the door on Utah should be a source of motivation.  If you don’t come to play, 8 seed or not, you could lose.

ORL  -3.5

PHI   191

The Sixers stole game one , than went down in game 2. What up for game 3.  Again, this  is a tough one to call. What team shows up today ?  The Sixers have been playing tough at home and might be able to take the series lead.  The Magic are a very solid road team so the stage is set for tonights game 3.  I am looking for Philly to keep it close.

PORT  184.5

HOU  -5.5

What will the Rockets do if Yao gets in foul trouble ? They no longer have the 7 footer Mutombo to back him up. If your the Blazers you have to take it to the middle and get Yao in Foul trouble.  The Blazers came back from the game one blow out and held on in game 2. The Blazers know what they have to do, they just need to do it.  If the Blazers can attack the Middle and get Yao in foul trouble , they can win this game as well as the series.

I KNOW I SAID I WOULDN’T BET THE BLAZERS……… BUT I CAN’T RESIST.

TAKE BLAZERS + 5.5

PHILLY +3.5

CLE – 4.5

Put Portland and Philly in a 2 game parlay and do the same for Cleveland and the Blazers. Than do 1 for Philly and Cleveland.  Like a round robin.


NBA 4.23.09 April 23, 2009

Posted by justinmsmith in Basketball, NBA, sports betting, sports investing.
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23_podborka_11So pretty much, aside from the Blazers the pick of the days’ have been going well. Parlays are still shitty, but can’t win em all.   Looking back on the Miami @ Atlanta game, I should have figured D Wade would be back in game 2. But I had more confidence in Atlanta and their home game. And of course, the looming feeling that if I bet the Heat they would treat me like the red headed stepchild Blazers!  It was close but we managed to pull out 2 games last night.  With the proper money management  we will do just fine.

BOS   201.5

CHI  -3

This series is a toss up. It is very difficult to say with any confidence how this might turn out. The young inexperienced Bulls are playing in front of the Home crowd in game 3 of the playoffs. A win tonight would put the Bulls up 2-1 over the number 2 seed Celtics.  This is a huge game for both teams. However, i think it might be a little to big for the Bulls. If the series continues true to form from th first 2 games in Boston, we are in for another great game.  I think this young team might come out flat and lay and egg in this one. Bostton has been there , done that already. Even without KG, they are still seasoned Vets who have been down this road before. The Bulls on the other hand are young and talented. Gorden has been there before, but thats about it. I think Boston controls the game and takes game 3 in Chi town.

S.A.   190

DAL  -5

This is another game I really wouldn’t touch. You have to like Dallas at home.  The Spurs managed to even the series in Game 2, leaving home with a split.  Dallas is going to look for  the leg up tonight and try to go ahead in the series at home.  The Mavs play well at home.  I don’t really have much desire to bet this one, but if I had to make a move I would take the Mavs givin 5 at home.  They should win by 7 or 8 in my opinion.  I think the reason it’s a 5 point line is because most people see it as a dead wood game. More action is onBos @ Chi and L.A. @ Utah.  But that’s just my opinino.

L.A.  -2

UTAH  214

I like Utah as the Home Dawgs !!  Utah has played the Lakers tough in Salt Lake City. Last year the Jazz took games 3 & 4 on their home court. Look for that to happen again. Well at least game 3.  The Lakers beat them with ease in the first 2 games. But don’t think Utah is going to roll over.   Historically the Lakers have had a bit of trouble  in Utah. No to mention the Jazz are a very good home team.  Tonight is the season for the Jazz. With a loss they go down 3-0. Unless your the Yankees, a 3-0 lead …..  it’s pretty much over.  The over in this is a little higher than it’s been in LA, but it should still get covered.  I think the tempo is going to be a fast pace and that should allow alot of fast break points.  Lookin at the over as well in this one.

TAKE BOSTON +3 ON THE ROAD

TAKE UTAH +2  AS A HOME DAWG

LA / UTAH OVER 214

I ould put these bets in seperate, perhaps an IF BET.

2 game parlay

Bos +3

Utah +2

3 game parlay

Bos +3

Utah +2  with the over 214

4 game parlay

same as 3 game but take the Mavs -5

Best of Luck !!

NBA 4.22.09 April 22, 2009

Posted by justinmsmith in Football, NBA, sports betting.
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23_podborka_27So it’s official, I am done with Portland for the rest of the Playoffs !!  Can’t make foul shoots at home , how they going to close one out on the road…..  and what the hell is von waffer doing making those forced threes’ ??? Aside from that, I did manage to score with the Cavs. I know I said to take Detroit.  But right after the Cavs rolled through Game 1, I took the Cavs and points as soon as the Game 2 line was released. My theory was that the oodsmakers would be pretty damn close and that the betting public would be the line higher. They did and I won (by 1 point. Had the Cavs -11).  Doesn’t always work out like that, but it did this time around.

PHI  193.5

ORL   -10.5

It’s going to be a tough game for the Magic. Already down 1-0 , after blowing an 18 point second half lead, needing this win to avoid gong to Philly down 0-2.  Thats alot of pressure on a team.  The 76ers on the other hand are confident and feeling good about what they accomplished in game 1.  This series seems similar to the Boston series.  The Magic will win, but doesn’t seem like they will cover.  Remember, there pressure is on Orlando. The 76ers would love to go home up 2-0, but even with a split they will be happy.  Expect another close game getting decided in the last minute of play.

MIA  184

ATL  -5

Can D Wade bounce back ? I am sure he will.  Still that doesn’t mean the Heat will win. Atlanta is good at home, remember when they took the 1 seeded Celtics 7 games last year. Granted, they never stood a chance on the road, but damn they were fun to watch at home.  I just don’t think Miami has enough talent to win in Atlanta. D Wade has the ball like 90% of the time for Miami. Look what happens when he gets shut down………  Miami might be able to squeak one out when they are back in FLA, but I expect the Hawks to win this by double digits.

N.O.  198.5

DEN  -6

It would be hard to believe Chris Paul is going to let his Hornets get blown out again.  At the very least you have to figure Paul will improve on his teams dismal shooting in Game 1.  The Nuggets are trying to prove their merit and worth. They looked sharp in Game 1 and will try to continue that style of play. 6 seems possible, but the OVER looks like a better play here.  CP and company have to getg some fast break points and push the pace a bit more. Denver is the bigger team , so the Hornets need to push the pace.

BET THE 76ERS +10.5

BET THE DEN/N.O. OVER 198.5

3 GAME PARLAY

76ERS +10.5

ATL -5

DEN/N.O.  OVER 198.5

AND REMEMBER, STAY THE HELL AWAY FROM PORTLAND


NBA PLAYOFFS 4.21.09 April 21, 2009

Posted by justinmsmith in Football, NBA, sports betting, sports investing.
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5 reasons to love Germany

5 reasons to love Germany

Well again my parlays plays are shit, but my locks are 3 of 4 so far.   Boston having a tough time with those pesky Bulls. Even last year it took Boston 7 games to dump the Hawks.  Tied 1-1 going back to Chi town ,  game 3 should be a good one.   The Spurs game was a blow out, as it was expected.

DET 178

CLE  -12

Can the Cavs keep up the winning ways at home?  After handing Detroit a beat down in game one, look for this one to be a little closer.  I still think the Cavs win, just don’t feel they willl cover the spread. 12 is alot afeter a blowout like in game 1.  I would expect the Pistons to try to tighten the screws on Defense, which play to the under.  I  wouldn’t really take action on this game, but if I was to take a shot I would TAKE THE POINTS.

HOU  184

PORT  -6

It was a combonation of events that lead to the Rockets 30 point ass whooping of the Home Team Blazers in game 1.  It won’t happen again.  The  Rockets sgot close to 60% and the first playoff game jitters go hold of the young Blazers. Look for the opposite today. I know I said load up on the Blazers in game 1.  Well now it’s time to make your money back.  Hit the Blazers with twice what we lost on them in ga me 1. Make our money back and increse our percentage.  The Blazers are going to come out running and gunning and high flying.  They win by double digits.

UTAH   211

L.A.   -12

The Lakers take game 2, but not gonna cover th spread.  They barely covered the spread in Game 1, but they did and we won.  This game might be a little closer. However, I would play the over. These teams are gooing to put up points in this one. Thats all the Jazz can hope to do is out score the Lakers. Turn it into a track meet.  I think Utah keeps it closer than double digits, but alas won’t be able to hold on. Looking at the over.

LOAD UP ON THE BLAZERS

3 GAME PARLAY

BLAZERS-6

UTAH/L.A.  OVER 211

UTAH +12

4 GAME PARLAY

SAME AS ABOVE

TAKE DETOIT +12