Since I placed most of my capital on the Oregon -28.5 matchup, didn’t have much else to apply to these other ditties that I believe are worthy of your attention.
Totals and lines after the jump from the world of small school college football AND the epicenter of football this weekend in College Station.
TOTALS: Three things I seek on totals:
- Can one of the teams clear the number on its own?
- QB quality
- Are bettors overly excited abut the game and pushed the number too high?
Bowling Green at Indiana OVER 64 – a one unit bet as Indiana could score 64 on a weaker team with Nate Sudfeld emerging at QB. BG has a nice defense, but Indiana does not.
Ball State at North Texas OVER 59.5 – actually oved down from 63 on Wednesday, I think it provides value on all three levels with Keith Wenning leading the Cardinals to a balmy Denton Texas. and by all three I mean that few bettors care about Ball State nor North Texas, so unlikely to be inflated.
Alabama at Texas A&M UNDER 61 – with the line moving up to 9, the world expects a 35-24 Tide win. see #3 above, TONS of public money on the OVER and Johnny Flippin Football and Bama cannot score that much on anyone this season. And yet Vegas tries to dissuade any more money on Bama over 35 as they have priced that line at -125.
SPREADS:
Illinois +10.5 home dog versus Washington – my love for Illinois has been clear, and no reason to think Washington is that special on the road even with stud TE Austin Sefarin-Jenkins back on the squad.
Maryland -7 away fave versus UConn – huskies are terrible, and Maryland QB CJ Brown is Johnny Manziel Lite (a great play this week on DraftStreet daily fantasy games this week too). Plus Maryland has two NFL quality WRs in Stefon Diggs and Deon Long. Any other week this would be a multiple unit play.
Blue Horseshoe Loves... 